The past few years have been a tough ride for commercial real estate. The pandemic and lockdowns kept people away from malls, restaurants, and theaters, while the office sector came to a near standstill as remote work took over.
Rising interest rates, high inflation, and a shift to staying home for work and entertainment made real estate companies and investors struggle as commercial real estate’s future looked uncertain. However, the winds are changing!
The year ahead brings a sense of measured hope for the commercial real estate market.
While it’s hard to say exactly what impact all the economic shifts will have, experts are keeping an eye on a few important trends and the 2025 commercial real estate outlook presents a mix of potential and caution—here’s what we see ahead:
- Rebound of the CRE Market
- Reshoring and Regional Trends
- PropTech and AI
- Remote Work is Reshaping Property Demand
- Sustainability in CRE
The Commercial Real Estate Market Is on the Rebound
Although 2024 seemed like a low point for the real estate market cycle, things are looking up!

Property Values are Stabilizing
Global property values are showing signs of stabilization, as the rate of decline is noticeably slowing. In Q2 of 2024, values decreased by 6.3% year-over-year, a marked improvement from the 7.7% drop seen two quarters earlier. This positive shift indicates the market is moving in a healthier direction.
CRE Supply and Demand
There is solid demand for commercial real estate and the supply exists to meet it. Last year’s new leasing activity topped pre-pandemic levels with 434 million square feet of leases signed. This momentum is expected to carry into the year ahead.
Interest Rate Cuts
In December 2024, the Federal Reserve reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, with many economists initially forecasting four additional cuts in 2025. However, so far we’ve only seen more cautious messaging from the Fed, leading to tempered expectations about how much borrowing costs might fall.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized this measured approach, saying,
“I think we’re in a good place, but I think from here it’s a new phase, and we’re going to be cautious about further cuts.”
Although rate increases are unlikely, cuts may be fewer than originally anticipated.
Reshoring and Regional Trends
Home is where the heart is, at least according to Deloitte’s survey. That said, the shift from global to local real estate investments isn’t driven by sentimentality, but rather by reshoring and the growing demand for more resilient manufacturing.
Survey respondents from the US overwhelmingly selected domestic (40%) and other countries on the same continent (23%) as the top markets to focus on.
Reshoring Boosts Industrial Real Estate Demand

Since the pandemic, many American manufacturers are bringing operations closer to their home markets for shorter, more flexible supply chains.
This will continue to drive demand for industrial real estate, like warehouses, which in turn will attract local and nearshore investments.
As companies restore production, Mexico is emerging as a top investment hub, due to lower labor costs and an abundant workforce. Arizona’s proximity to Mexico makes it a strategic hub for nearshoring, benefiting from increased demand for industrial real estate.
Proptech Driving the Future of Commercial Real Estate
Proptech – ever heard of it? Short for Property Technology, Proptech refers to the innovative use of technology and digital solutions in the real estate industry.
PropTech is reshaping the commercial real estate industry by improving the efficiency and effectiveness of property transactions, leasing, and management.
One standout example of Proptech in commercial real estate transactions is the use of blockchain and AI to bolster title verification, fraud detection, and payment security, according to Monica May-Dunn of Arizona Escrow & Financial Corporation.

Although AI adoption is still in its early stages within the commercial real estate industry, McKinsey Global Institute (MGI) predicts that generative AI could contribute up to $180 billion in additional value to the sector.
Companies at various stages of their AI journey, from early adopters to more advanced users, have identified these key uses in Deloitte’s 2025 survey:
- Accounting and reporting
- Financial planning and analysis
- Risk management and internal audit
- Property operations
While it’s easy to turn to technology for automating repetitive tasks, the real game-changers in CRE are those embracing advanced tech like large language models (LLMs) and automation to gain a competitive edge.
Remote Work is Reshaping Property Demand
Office spaces are losing their shine. With hybrid and remote work now the norm for many companies, real estate investors have lost confidence in this once-profitable sector. In fact, it is predicted that this sentiment will continue in the near future.
Instead, investors are shifting their focus to:
- Industrial spaces
- Digital economy hubs
- Multifamily housing

Industrial and Manufacturing spaces
The e-commerce industry is showing no signs of slowing down. With this, comes the increased demand for industrial real estate like distribution centers, warehouses, and logistics terminals.
Digital Economy Hubs
The rise of AI, Big Data, Blockchain, and IoT (Internet of Things) is increasing demand for digital economy properties, especially data centers. At the same time, the environmental impact of data centers can’t be ignored, given AI’s enormous power needs. The commercial real estate industry must rethink energy efficiency and focus on greener solutions for these properties.
Multifamily units
In the US, the demand for multifamily units remains strong. The rise in demand for this type of property is being fueled by immigration, a shortage of affordable housing, and younger generations postponing homeownership.

Sustainability Is Essential in the Commercial Real Estate Market
Sustainability is not just another commercial real estate trend. The future of the industry is increasingly shaped by sustainability and Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) concerns.
“Buyers and investors are prioritizing environmentally friendly and socially responsible practices,” shares Monica May-Dunn.
A recent study by Deloitte shows over 61% of respondents placing high to extremely high priority on Building Performance Standards (BPS) with another 34% placing it as a moderate priority. Now is the perfect time for real estate companies to transition from “brown” to “green” by greening and retrofitting properties.
This type of active property management will not only improve sustainability and meet climate goals, it will help boost market value by appealing to eco-conscious tenants and investors.
Insights from CCIM 2025 Real Estate Outlook
To offer a well-rounded view of the commercial real estate landscape, we’ve highlighted a few key takeaways from the CCIM half-day conference that AEF leadership attended on January 17. Keynote speaker Danny Court, Partner, Senior Economist at Elliott D. Pollack & Company shared several interesting insights in his presentation titled, Threading the Needle to a Soft Landing IREM | CCIM Economic Forecast. Insights shared include:
- Arizona’s CRE: Growth, Opportunity, and a Little Balance
Arizona is seeing rising investments with significant CAPEX increases pointing to strong infrastructure and development growth. While short-term oversupply in multifamily units may lead to lower rents, long-term growth potential remains strong as demand catches up.
- Moderation Leads the Way
The latest IREM CCIM report echoes insights from Deloitte and Reuters—recent moderation in GDP growth and Federal Reserve rate cuts point to a more stable economy, but caution is key.
- Shifting Gears in Washington
The new administration’s policies could shake up commercial real estate. While promises of further rate cuts could boost the market, factors like tariffs and immigration policies may create new challenges that offset these gains.
- Inflation Stabilized, Recession Dodged
Inflation has cooled, and a recession has been avoided—for now. Investors can breathe easier, though caution is still key as economic conditions remain unpredictable.
- Calmer Inflation Means More Confidence for CRE
With inflation showing signs of stabilization, lower mortgage rates are on the horizon, making financing more affordable for both investors and buyers. This indicates a more favorable environment for commercial real estate. However, borrowing costs are still higher than pre-2022 levels.
- Signals Point to Optimism
A positive treasury spread and strong ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index signal growing confidence in the market—an outlook echoed by other sources in this article.
- Delinquencies Tell the Story
CMBS delinquency rates reveal a stark contrast—office spaces face the highest rate (8.4%), while multifamily (3.3%) and industrial (0.3%) remain the most stable. This aligns with investor sentiment in Deloitte’s survey, reinforcing the need to be strategic about property types in 2025.
Study Points to Growing Confidence in the Commercial Real Estate Industry
The outlook for commercial real estate in 2025 shows optimism as market sentiment has shifted from cautious hopefulness to growing confidence.

To thrive in this evolving landscape, adaptability is key. As AEF CEO Monica May-Dunn emphasizes, “Staying ahead will require agility and a willingness to embrace change.”
Arizona Escrow & Financial is committed to being your trusted partner in this journey. With nearly 50 years of expertise in business sales and commercial real estate escrow, we’ll ensure your transactions are seamless and your investments are well-supported.
Reach out to us today to discover how we can help you close your next commercial real estate transaction.
Disclaimer: Arizona Escrow & Financial Services makes no express or implied warranty regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided and assumes no responsibility for errors or omissions. The information presented is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered legal, financial, or professional advice.
Arizona Escrow & Financial Services, the Arizona Escrow logo, and www.arizonaescrow.com are trademarks or registered trademarks of Arizona Escrow & Financial Services and/or its affiliates. Unauthorized use of these trademarks is strictly prohibited.
For more information, please visit www.arizonaescrow.com or contact us directly.

Arizona Escrow Editor
Founded in 1976 by Donald E. Graham, Arizona Escrow & Financial Corporation is Arizona’s largest independent escrow provider, specializing in business sales, personal property, and commercial real estate transactions. Its customer base includes individuals, businesses, business and real estate brokers, law firms, commercial and SBA lenders, banks, major corporations, tribal communities, state and municipal government organizations and departments, internet entities, and other parties requiring an experienced and professional escrow company. Under the leadership of CEO Monica May-Dunn since 2023, AEF remains committed to personalized service, instilling confidence in clients, and setting the standard for excellence in the escrow industry. For more information, visit arizonaescrow.com/services.
Disclaimer: Arizona Escrow & Financial Services makes no express or implied warranty regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided and assumes no responsibility for errors or omissions. The information presented is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered legal, financial, or professional advice.
Arizona Escrow & Financial Services, the Arizona Escrow logo, and www.arizonaescrow.com are trademarks or registered trademarks of Arizona Escrow & Financial Services and/or its affiliates. Unauthorized use of these trademarks is strictly prohibited.
For more information, please visit www.arizonaescrow.com or contact us directly.